LEBANON: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts

2000/01

Latest pperiod

Nominal GDP(US$bn)

16.0

16.0

 -

-

16.4

16.8

Real GDP growth(% per annum)

-1.0

0.0

-

-

2.3

2.4

Population(mn)

4.1

4.2

-

-

4.3

4.3

CPI,(an.av.%y/y)

1.0

1.5

1.2

Nov

3.0

3.5

M4 growth(%y/y)

11.9

9.0

9.5

Oct

10.0

10.0

Exchange rate(LBP/US$,eop)

1,501

1,501

1,505

15-Jan

1,600

1,800

Exchange rate(LBP/US$,an.av.)

1,507

1,513

-

-

1,550

1,725

T-bills(3 mon,%)

10.9

10.0

10.9

Oct

10.0

8.5

Budget deficit(% of expenditure)

43.0

60.0

52.2

Jan-Nov

38.0

20.0

Budget balance(%of GDP)

-13.9

-12.9

-

-

-14.0

-10.8

Exports(US$bn)

0.68

0.75

0.66

Jan-Nov

0.80

1.15

Imports(US$bn)

6.21

6.15

5.64

Jan-Nov

6.20

6.80

Trade balance(US$bn)

-5.53

-5.40

-4.98

Jan-Nov

-5.40

-5.65

Current account balance(US$bn)

0.3

0.5

-0.1

Jan-Oct

0.6

1.0

 -%of GDP

1.6

3.1

-

-

3.7

6.0

Foreign reserves(ex.gold US$bn)

7.61

5.93

-

-

6.60

7.50

Public external debt(US$bn)

5.54

6.00

6.4

Oct

6.50

6.90

Gross domestic debt(LBPtrn)

23.20

24.74

24.4

Nov

26.00

28.00

Total Debt(US$bn)

21.00

22.48

-

-

22.75

22.46

 -% of GDP

130.98

140.25

-

-

138.72

133.66

f = forecasts (bold). * Effective rate.