IRAN: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts

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1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001f

2002f

Real GDP growth(%y/y)

3.2

4.7

3.1

2.1

2.4 5.9 4.0 4.0

Population(mn)

61.5

60.1

65.0

66.8 68.7 70.6 72.5 73.7

Budget balance(% of GDP)

-3.6

-1.6

-2.7

-5.1 -0.7 1.1 0.6 -0.0

CPI(an,ave,%y/y)

49.4

23.2

17.3

17.9 20.1 12.6 13.2 12.5

M2 Growth(%y/y)

31.5

27.2

37.0

15.2 19.4 20.1 17.0 20.0

Exchange rate(IRR/US$,end period)

4,500

4,600

1,754

1751 1752 1735 1750 1750

Oil price(Opec bkt,US$/b,ave)

16.88

20.23

18.77

12.28 17.47 27.60 24.00 18.00

Oil price (Iranian light,US$/b,ave)

16.18

18.97

18.34

11.69 16.51 26.70 20.90 17

Oil production(mn b/d)

3.65

3.67

3.63

3.61 3.50 3.69 3.60 3.65

Oil & gas export revenues(US$bn)

15.10

19.27

15.47

9.93 17.09 24.23 20.00 15.50

Exports(fob,US$bn)

18.36

22.50

18.38

13.12 21.03 28.34 26.00 23.10

Imports(fob,US$bn)

12.77

14.88

14.12

14.29 13.43 15.21 17.20 16.50

Trade balance(US$bn)

5.59

7.61

4.26 -1.17 7.60 13.14 8.80 6.60

Current account(US$bn)

3.11

5.24

2.03 -2.44 6.59 12.65 7.45 5.60

 -as% of GDP

7.82

10.25

4.15 -6.03 12.87 24.64 12.44 8.07

Total external debt(US$bn)

21.9

16.8

14.2 13.2 10.4 10.2 7.8 8.2

 -medium & long term(US$bn)

15.5

12.1

9.5 8.7 6.7 6.1 4.8 7.2

 -short term(US$bn)

6.4

4.8

4.8 4.5 3.6 4.1 3.0 2.7

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